September 2012

Playoff Scenario for O’s, Mustangs

by Ben Catley

Yes, tonight’s game here in Great Falls, in the scheme of things when it comes to the Pioneer League playoff picture, doesn’t mean a thing. However, for guys like Danny Pulfer – who is hitting .161 in his last eight games, Kevin Dultz, et al, it means a lot.

That as it may be, here is the whole science behind it. And, fortunately, no Abacus was used in determining the scenarios.

What you need to know:
– Tonight’s games involving both the Osprey and Billings will have no bearing on who wins the Pioneer League North Division Second-Half title. Thanks to the tie-breakers, the process has become very simple, as described next.

– If Billings wins ONE of the two games at Ogren Park Allegiance Field on Wednesday and Thursday, then the Mustangs will win the North Division Second-Half title.

– If the Osprey win BOTH games, then they will win the North Division Second-Half title and advance to the North Division Playoffs on Friday against Great Falls. Game 1 would be Friday at Ogren Park Allegiance Field, with Games 2 and (if needed) 3 in Great Falls.

So why doesn’t tonight matter?
If the Osprey win and Billings loses tonight, the Osprey would still have to win both of the games against the Mustangs at home on Wednesday and Thursday, because the season series cannot end in a tie and benefit the Osprey. Billings would take the crown on the next tiebreaker – division record for the season, which they currently lead by two games.

Conversely, the Osprey can lose and Billings win tonight and not eliminate the Osprey. The Osprey would be two games back in that case, and the head-to-head tiebreaker would get them the title on a sweep, because they would have a 9-7 record against Billings for the season.

I hope this makes it easy to follow.

First, lineups from Great Falls on Tuesday

Oh, there’s more a comin’ in separate posts, including an Eaton sighting and just how this whole playoff thing works … but for now, here are the lineups for today’s game between the Missoula Osprey and the Great Falls Voyagers.

And, for the first time in about two weeks – no scoreboard watching necessary. While we will be keeping an eye on things in Helena, it doesn’t mean beans what happens in the playoff scenario. The post on the playoffs will say it all.

Anyway, Pre-game is on the air tonight at 6:40, with first pitch at 7:00 on AM 930 KMTP and online at MissoulaOsprey.com. Here are the lineups …

Missoula (20-15, 38-35)
14 Pedro Ruiz 2B
12 Adam McConnell SS
19 Socrates Brito CF
7 Michael Perez DH
26 Yosbel Gutierrez C
15 Alex Glenn RF
30 Tyler Bream 3B
9 Danny Pulfer LF
50 Kevin Dultz 1B
48 Yoimer Camacho RHP

Great Falls (14-21, 38-35)
3 Micah Johnson 2B
6 Michael Johnson CF
27 Yoandy Barroso LF
22 Kyle Robinson RF
12 Brent Tanner 1B
16 Thomas McCarthy 3B
10 Tyler Williams DH
11 Zach Voight SS
19 Zac Fisher C
21 JC Casey RHP

Lineups for Monday in Great Falls

It’s Labor Day, but the Osprey are hard at work trying to catch a break tonight, as they take on the Great Falls Voyagers at Centene Stadium. The Osprey are 5-1 here this season, and will look to continue that trend in this series.

Pre-game is set for 6:40, with the first pitch set for 7:00 on AM 930 KMTP and online at MissoulaOsprey.com. Alex Glenn is our pre-game show guest.

And now … the lineups …

Missoula (19-15, 37-35)
38 Andrew Velazquez SS
19 Socrates Brito RF
18 Jake Lamb 3B
26 Yosbel Gutierrez DH
21 Breland Almadova CF
15 Alex Glenn LF
33 Rudy Flores 1B
9 Danny Pulfer 2B
50 Kevin Dultz C
29 Karl Triana RHP

Great Falls (14-20, 38-34)
6 Michael Johnson LF
11 Zach Voight SS
3 Micah Johnson 2B
22 Kyle Robinson RF
12 Brent Tanner 1B
10 Tyler Williams 3B
19 Zac Fisher C
2 Dustin Hayes DH
1 Daurys Mercedes CF
30 Brandon Brennan RHP

 

 

 

Lineups for the Final Round in Billings

It’s a decent day in Billings as the Osprey get ready to take on the Billings Mustangs here at Dehler Park. The Osprey are hoping to win the series today, while the Mustangs look for a split – which would put them one game up on the Osprey with four to play, including two more in Missoula.

The Osprey will leave here after the game and head to Great Falls, as they will play their final two road games of the regular season against the first-half champion Voyagers.

Now to the lineups – oh, one more thing – we’re on the air at 1:45 today, with the first pitch scheduled for 2:05, on AM 930 KMTP and online at MissoulaOsprey.com.

Missoula (19-14, 37-34)
14 Pedro Ruiz SS
35 Evan Marzilli CF
18 Jake Lamb 3B
7 Michael Perez C
19 Socrates Brito RF
21 Breland Almadova DH
30 Tyler Bream 1B
15 Alex Glenn LF
38 Andrew Velazquez 2B
44 Chris Pack RHP

Billings (19-14, 40-31)
41 Beau Amaral CF
4 Zach Vincej SS
23 Jesse Winker LF
13 Seth Mejias-Brean 3B
35 Carlos Sanchez 1B
26 Daniel Pigott RF
24 Matt Lentz DH
40 Robert Ramirez 2B
28 Julio Morillo C
51 Joel Bender LHP

Lineups for Round 3 in Billings

The Osprey are getting ready for the third game in this key four-game series, and as they do, they are (as I write this) peppering the scoreboard in right field. Evan Marzilli (yeah, the guy with Zero home runs on the season) and Michael Perez each hit it during BP today. The first group of Marzilli, Perez, Jake Lamb, Socrates Brito and Pedro Ruiz are looking like they did in their first workout before the season.

On the pre-game show tonight, we’ll have our Excerpts segment with hitting coach JR House, whose team remains on pace to set a new club record for best team batting average for a season. We’re on once again at 6:45 (when you’re on a streak, you don’t stop what you’re doing, right??), with first pitch set for 7:05 on AM 930 KMPT and online at MissoulaOsprey.com.

The lineups …

Missoula (19-13, 37-33)
14 Pedro Ruiz SS
35 Evan Marzilli CF
18 Jake Lamb 3B
7 Michael Perez C
19 Socrates Brito RF
21 Breland Almadova DH
33 Rudy Flores 1B
15 Alex Glenn LF
38 Andrew Velazquez 2B
24 Ross Gerdeman RHP

Billings (18-14, 39-31)
41 Beau Amaral CF
4 Zach Vincej SS
23 Jesse Winker LF
13 Seth Mejias-Brean 3B
35 Carlos Sanchez 1B
24 Matt Lentz DH
17 Jeff Gelalich RF
34 Wagner Gomez C
6 Brandon Dailey 2B
59 Jon Moscot RHP

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